ARD Forecast Shows CDU Leading in Rhineland-Palatinate
Early projections: CDU 30.80%, SPD 26% after March 8 loss in Baden-Württemberg; Merz focused on Ukraine and energy risks.
AfD takes 20% votes, doubling since last election; SPD 5.50% in Baden-Württemberg.
Parties to negotiate Berlin-style coalition, Schnieder replaces Schweitzer; SPD crisis pressures Merz's coalition.
Second of five state elections; CDU/CSU and SPD may exceed 50% in next election.